South Africans voted in the first "Born Free" election on Wednesday, with polls suggesting the allure of the ruling African National Congress as the conqueror of apartheid will prevail even among those with no memory of white-minority rule.
Voters young and old
wrapped up against the early morning chill to stand in long lines across
the country, evoking memories of the huge queues that snaked through
streets and fields for South Africa's historic all-race elections in
1994.
"It is great voting for
the first time. Now I have a say in the country's election and what is
happening. It is something new in my life," said 18-year-old Mawande
Nkoyi - a so-called post-apartheid "Born Free" - in the Cape Town
township of Langa.
Voting
ends at 1900 GMT and a firm idea of the outcome should emerge by midday
on May 8 although there is little doubt about the result. Polls put ANC
support at around 65 percent, only a shade lower than the 65.9 percent
it won in the 2009 election that brought President Jacob Zuma to power.
The ANC's enduring popularity has surprised analysts who said the party
could suffer as its glorious past recedes into history and voters focus
instead on the sluggish economic growth and slew of scandals that have
typified Zuma's first term.
Africa's most sophisticated economy has struggled to recover from a 2009
recession - its first since 1994 - and the ANC's efforts to stimulate
growth and tackle 25 percent unemployment have been hampered by powerful
unions.
South Africa's top
anti-graft agency accused Zuma this year of "benefiting unduly" from a
$23 million state-funded security upgrade to his private home at Nkandla
in rural KwaZulu-Natal province that included a swimming pool and
chicken run.
His
personal approval ratings have dipped, but Zuma appeared relaxed and
assured as he voted at a school near Nkandla, ending what he described
as a "very challenging" campaign.
"I hope that all voters will cast their votes free," he told reporters. "This is our right that we fought for.""REASSURINGLY BORING"
Besides being easy fodder for the cartoonists who have reveled in the
freedom of speech enshrined in the post-apartheid constitution, Nkandla
has exposed the gulf between current and former ANC leaders, in
particular Nelson Mandela, South Africa's first black president, who
died in December.
It has also
become the rallying cry for those who feel the ANC's dominance as it
enters its third decade in power has damaged the soul of the
102-year-old former liberation movement.
"It is not necessarily the huge sum paid by the public that is the most
corrupt aspect of Zuma's palatial rural estate," the Business Day
newspaper said in an editorial this week.
"It is how voraciously this wretched business has sucked in so many
others: ministers, bureaucrats, party officials and, as the election
hots up, ordinary loyalists."
Barring a major upset, the stock market and rand should take the vote
in their stride and could even gain if South Africa's reputation for
stability relative to other emerging markets such as Brazil, Ukraine or
Turkey is affirmed.
"Overall,
the election is reassuringly boring," said Simon Freemantle, an
economist at Standard Bank in Johannesburg. "We know who's going to win
and we know there are not going to be any radical policy changes. That
is reassuring."
SOUTH AFRICA'S CHAVEZThe ANC's nearest rival, the Democratic Alliance, polled 16.7 percent nationwide in 2009 and, even though it has been gaining ground, is still seen too much as the political home of privileged whites to have mass appeal.
Instead, the most spirited challenge has come from the ultra-leftist Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) led by expelled ANC Youth League leader Julius Malema, who models himself on Venezuela's Hugo Chavez, right down to the jaunty red beret.
In
his final rally at a Pretoria soccer stadium, Malema, who wants to
nationalize banks and mines and seize white-owned farms without
compensation, lambasted everything from the Nkandla issue to foreign
investors and former colonial powers.
"London must know that we're not scared of the queen," he said to
thunderous applause. "We shall not report to London. We will report to
the people. The people of South Africa will decide how business is
conducted in South Africa. We are taking everything."
However, even the EFF's noisy emergence is likely to have minimal
overall impact, with polls putting its support at 4-5 percent.
The silver-tongued Malema himself is also likely to barred from public
office this month if a court confirms a provisional sequestration order
imposed in February because of 16 million rand ($1.4 million) owed in
unpaid taxes.
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